Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
Explore the captivating world of investing with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and his incredible co-hosts. Each week, we delve into engaging conversations with renowned investors, top economists, expert traders, and visionary thought leaders. Our discussions cover Trend Following, Global Macro, Geo-Politics, Commodities, Quant Investing, Crypto, Volatility, and much more. Unlock valuable insights from seasoned professionals, celebrating their triumphs and learning from their obstacles. Tune in every week to stay informed and inspired in the dynamic world of trend following, global macro and investing. For the latest episodes and blog posts, visit https://toptradersunplugged.com
Categories: News & Politics
Listen to the last episode:
In this episode, Alan Dunne and I explore Mario Draghi's latest vision for Europe and discuss an insightful interview with Kenneth Rogoff, titled "We Will See More Spikes in Inflation," which covers key macroeconomic issues. We also explore the recent Goldman Sachs reports, highlighted by the Financial Times, showing significant outflows from multi-strategy funds. Alan shares his perspective on the current macro landscape and why he believes we may witness more “flash crashes and extreme market moves” in the near future. Finally, we dig into two articles by Cliff Asness—"The Less Efficient Market Hypothesis" and "In Praise of High-Volatility Alternatives"—which challenge traditional thinking on market efficiency and make a compelling case for considering higher volatility versions of strategies like Trend Following over their low-volatility cousins.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:42 - What has caught our attention recently?
05:04 - Draghi's vision for Europe
08:09 - Keneth Rogoff's outlook for inflation
14:02 - Clients withdrawing money from multi-strat funds
19:58 - The big macro picture
27:33 - Is monetary policy still loose?
29:11 - Industry performance update (Finally!)
34:11 - The carry unwind
41:20 - Are people underestimating trend following?
44:51 - Are markets becoming less efficient?
48:30 - Why higher volatility funds may be good for your portfolio
56:52 - A historical perspective on volatility
Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
Previous episodes
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1404 - SI313: The Paradox of High-Volatility Alternatives ft. Alan Dunne Sat, 14 Sep 2024
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1403 - IL30: How To Evaluate True Macro Risk? ft. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak Wed, 11 Sep 2024 - 0h
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1402 - SI312: Should You Just Buy a CTA Index? ft. Rob Carver Sat, 07 Sep 2024
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1401 - GM69: The Global Economy from a Liquidity Perspective ft. Michael Howell Wed, 04 Sep 2024
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1400 - SI311: BREAKING: New CTA Index being revealed ft. Andrew Beer Sun, 01 Sep 2024
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1399 - GM68: Chief Strategist: “Most Scenerios Point to Recession” ft. Peter Berezin Wed, 28 Aug 2024
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1398 - SI310: The Illusion of Backtests and True Drivers of Price ft. Richard Brennan Sat, 24 Aug 2024
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1397 - IL29: Technology: The Economic Dynamite ft. Mark Mills Wed, 21 Aug 2024
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1396 - SI309: Bonds Behaving Badly ft. Katy Kaminski Sat, 17 Aug 2024 - 0h
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1395 - ALO25: Master Your Hedge Fund Allocation ft. John Jackson Wed, 14 Aug 2024
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1394 - SI308: Major Market Moves - What Now, Trend Followers? ft. Nick Baltas Sat, 10 Aug 2024
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1393 - GM67: Successful Investing in a Disrupted World ft. Aswath Damodaran Wed, 07 Aug 2024
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1392 - SI307: The Unpinning of Volatility & How to Prepare for What is Coming ft. Cem Karsan Sat, 03 Aug 2024
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1391 - IL28: The Transformation of the 21st Century Economy ft. Ernest Scheyder Wed, 31 Jul 2024 - 0h
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1390 - SI306: If Trend Following was an Olympic Sport... ft. Mark Rzepczynski Sat, 27 Jul 2024
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1389 - GM66: Trump Trade and the 3 Legged Stool ft. MacroAlf & Cem Karsan Wed, 24 Jul 2024
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1388 - SI305: Building A Hedge Fund Allocation ft. Alan Dunne Fri, 19 Jul 2024
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1387 - GM65: Why Fed Will Raise Rates Next Year ft. Adam Posen Wed, 17 Jul 2024
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1386 - SI304: Taking the Trend Following Temperature with Man AHL ft. Graham Robertson Sat, 13 Jul 2024
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1385 - OI09: The Key to Trend Following Success ft. Cole Wilcox Wed, 10 Jul 2024 - 0h
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1384 - SI303: The Unstoppable Volpocalypse ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne Sat, 06 Jul 2024
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1383 - GM64: Why the Economy is Vulnerable to Recession ft. Claudia Sahm Wed, 03 Jul 2024 - 0h
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1382 - SI302: The Negative Crisis Beta and CTA's Hidden Market Timing Skills ft. Nick Baltas Sat, 29 Jun 2024
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1381 - GM63: War Without Rules ft. General Robert Spalding Wed, 26 Jun 2024
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1380 - SI301: The AI Hype within Investing...a Step Too Far? ft. Rob Carver Sat, 22 Jun 2024
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1379 - OI08: Trend Following...Austrian Style ft. Michael Neubauer & Joseph Waldstein from SMN Wed, 19 Jun 2024 - 0h
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1378 - SI300: Finding the Optimal Trend Following Rules ft. Richard Brennan Sat, 15 Jun 2024 - 0h
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1377 - IL27: Unlocking the Secrets of Great Communication ft. Charles Duhigg Wed, 12 Jun 2024 - 0h
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1376 - SI299: Sharing the Trend Following Pie ft. Andrew Beer Sat, 08 Jun 2024
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1375 - GM62: How to Build a Future-Proof Portfolio ft. Bob Elliott Wed, 05 Jun 2024
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1374 - SI298: The Trend Following ETF Revolution ft. Katy Kaminski Sat, 01 Jun 2024 - 0h
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1373 - GM61: The New Politics: Neoliberal Decline and Authoritarian Rise ft. Gary Gerstle Wed, 29 May 2024
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1372 - Si297: Trend Following as a Return Enhancement Overlay ft. Alan Dunne Sat, 25 May 2024
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1371 - IL26: How New Technologies Will Shape the Economy ft. Koen De Leus & Philippe Gijsels Wed, 22 May 2024
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1370 - SI296: Is Trend Following Becoming Too Complicated? ft. Mark Rzepczynski Sat, 18 May 2024
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1369 - ALO24: Managing Money Through Structural Shifts ft. Richard Urwin Wed, 15 May 2024
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1368 - SI295: Trend Followers - The Unwanted Party Guests? ft. Nick Baltas Sat, 11 May 2024
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1367 - ALO23: Behind the Scenes of a High Net Worth Investor ft. Tad Fallows Wed, 08 May 2024
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1366 - SI294: Lowering the Cost of being Long Commodities ft. Hari Krishnan Sat, 04 May 2024 - 0h
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1365 - GM60: Preparing Your Portfolio for the Second Half of 2024 ft. Christian Mueller-Glissmann Wed, 01 May 2024
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1364 - SI293: Market Outlook for the Rest of 2024 & EOY S&P500 level ft. Cem Karsan Sat, 27 Apr 2024 - 0h
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1363 - GM59: The Geopolitical Tug-of-War: Russia, China & the West ft. Marko Papic Wed, 24 Apr 2024
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1362 - SI292: Is Cocoa becoming Too Hot for Trend Followers? ft. Rob Carver Sat, 20 Apr 2024
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1361 - IL25: Any Happy Returns... the Next Super Cycle? ft. Peter Oppenheimer Wed, 17 Apr 2024 - 0h
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1360 - SI291: Trend Following...What should it mean to Investors? ft. Richard Brennan Sat, 13 Apr 2024
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1359 - TTU146: The value of Unpredictable Alpha ft. Anthony Todd Wed, 10 Apr 2024
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1358 - SI290: Honey, I Shrunk the Trend Following ft. Andrew Beer Sat, 06 Apr 2024
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1357 - ALO22: Finding an Absolute Return Solution for a C$11BN Pension Plan ft. Christophe L'Ahelec Wed, 03 Apr 2024 - 0h
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1356 - SI289: Kahneman, Trend Following & Cocoa ft. Mark Rzepczynski Sat, 30 Mar 2024
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1355 - OI07: The Evolution of Short-Term Trading ft. Tony Kaiser Wed, 27 Mar 2024 - 0h